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A modelacão estocástica nas ciências atuariais permite criar modelos para os Ramos Vida e Não-Vida da atividade de uma seguradora, através dos quais se podem analisar diversos parâmetros, e desta forma auxiliar na tomada de decisões e evitar desvios financeiros. Neste trabalho pretende-se analisar o ramo não-vida das ciências atuariais, mais concretamente a área designada por teoria da ruína, que consiste no estudo não só dos prémios, como também das indemnizações de seguradoras, de forma a controlar desvios financeiros e evitar a ruína. Assim, recorreu-se ao modelo clássico, conhecido por modelo de Crámer-Lundberg, e efetuaram-se duas abordagens distintas considerando o tempo discreto e o tempo contínuo. Além da obtenção de alguns resultados úteis nesta análise, realizaram-se simulações teóricas e também a análise de uma base de dados...
Asymmetric exclusion Equilibrium fluctuations Boltzmann-Gibbs principle Tagged particle
Comment: 15 pages 3 figures. This paper has been improved and the title has also changed to On the asymmetric zero-range in the rarefaction fan
Comment: 18 pages, 3 figures. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:0912.0640
In this work, I present an interacting particle system whose dynamics conserves the total number of particles but with gradient transition rates that vanish for some configurations. As a consequence, the invariant pieces of the system, namely, the hyperplanes with a fixed number of particles can be decomposed into an irreducible set of configurations plus isolated configurations that do not evolve under the dynamics. By taking initial profiles smooth enough and bounded away from zero and one and for parabolic time scales, the macroscopic density profile evolves according to the porous medium equation. Perturbing slightly the microscopic dynamics in order to remove the degeneracy of the rates the same result can be obtained for more general initial profiles.
In this work I introduce a classical example of an Interacting Particle System: the Simple Exclusion Process. I present the notion of hydrodynamic limit, which is a Law of Large Numbers for the empirical measure and an heuristic argument to derive from the microscopic dynamics between particles a partial differential equation describing the evolution of the density profile. For the Simple Exclusion Process, in the Symmetric case ($p=1/2$) we will get to the heat equation while in the Asymmetric case ($p\neq{1/2}$) to the inviscid Burgers equation. Finally, I introduce the Central Limit Theorem for the empirical measure and the limiting process turns out to be a solution of a stochastic partial differential equation.
In these notes we consider two particle systems: the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process and the totally asymmetric zero-range process. We introduce the notion of hydrodynamic limit and describe the partial differential equation that governs the evolution of the conserved quantity - the density of particles $\rho(t,\cdot)$. This equation is a hyperbolic conservation law of type $\partial_{t}\rho(t,u)+\nabla F(\rho(t,u))=0$, where the flux $F$ is a concave function. Taking these systems evolving on the Euler time scale $tN$, a Central Limit Theorem for the empirical measure holds and the temporal evolution of the limit density field is deterministic. By taking the system on a reference frame with constant velocity, the limit density field does not evolve in time. In order to have a non-trivial limit, time needs to be speeded up ...
We consider the one-dimensional Totally Asymmetric Zero-Range process evolving on $\mathbb{Z}$ and starting from the Geometric product measure $\mu_\rho$. On the hyperbolic time scale the temporal evolution of the density fluctuation field is deterministic, in the sense that the limit field at time $t$ is a translation of the initial one. We consider the system in a reference frame moving at this velocity and we show that the limit density fluctuation field does not evolve in time until $N^{4/3}$, which implies the current across a characteristic to vanish on this longer time scale.
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